SainTD was in the server when I was practicing, he will definitely be competing.
The first round is not necessarily about how good you are, but who else is competing in that tourney. If you're competing in a tourney with two or three other great players, your chances of making it to the second round are greatly reduced.
I'd rather fight a good player in the second round where it is a first to 3 wins duel, rather than a one game fight in a tourney of 26 people.