Another point I want to add is that it is essentially necessary for a society to embrace it unless it can prevent it globally through treaties and whatnot (yeah right!). If your population stays traditional while other countries are rapidly filling with smarter and stronger citizens, you will eventually be out of competition. Perish. Along with your obsolete values.
That isn't exactly true.
Case study; the Amish. They have essentially shunned modern technology and live as they did 200 years ago. Currently modern technology is flying across at an insane rate, and yet the Amish survive and live happily.
Countries that do not embrace transhumanism will essentially be in the same boat. They may not contribute as much to society, but they will still exist.
I expect that some Western countries that are less religious (ie, not USA), as well as south east Asia will embrace new technology a lot faster than the middle east, and Africa. This is just speculation however.
And yet there is a plethora of examples of primitive societies survival today.
I don't see this changing in the future, if anything, there will be more 'primitive splinter societies' forming.
The Amish were founded what, 300 years ago? So they have already survived for 300 years, and yet you expect that human purists will only survive 100-300 years?
You forget that primitivists are also protected by their isolation. The Amish populations were not decimated by swine flu, or bird flu, or whatever else. In fact, they are one of the fastest growing populations in the world.
Other populations, such as New Guinea highlanders are also isolated, so are spared modern disease, and can live as they have for thousands of years.
Perhaps if modern disease is introduced in to one of these secluded primtivisit cultures there will be problems, well, probably. However that seems to me to be a bit of a moot argument, since preventing modernism is what primitivism is all about.
My prediction is that primitive cultures will continue to exist indefinitely.
300 years is nothing really. Moreover, I the environment these upcoming "human purists" will be living in will be radically different from where these Amish have survived in so far.
Think of the competition in the long run.
How will these human purists pay for land? Offer services which plenty of augmented transhumans can do far better and faster? The Amish people where I live sell honey, dairy products, vegetables, as well as furniture they make. So far, their dedication and skill has been enough to compete well with what's "out there".
Only a matter of time. Another 14th century Europe. Another bubonic plague.
Yeah, that has sufficed for them thus far. Just wait til the Martians invade ;)
Modern disease? Smallpox is as deadly today as it was hundreds of years ago, it's just that we are able to prevent outbreaks through surveillance and ring vaccination. Any disease which is carried to an isolated community from far away has the potential to wipe them off completely. See: Native Americans. Their only defense against it will be prayer and perhaps some herbal medicine, but chances are that won't suffice. Many billions of people have died from diseases before we had modern travel or any technology worth the name. Perhaps precisely because of that.
PS: are we in agreement that technology can offer a valuable shield for species or not?
Well consider that human purists will have radically different technology to the Amish. Remember that they will still have computers, robot servants, etc. They just won't have 100 arms and be able to shoot lazers out of their eyes (which is what we all want to aspire to right?)
If we have learnt anything from our modern civilization, it is that people yearn for the good ol' days. Organic food and old style things are still in great demand (if not more so than back in the day).
I love honey, honey is awesome.
I don't remember the bubonic plague wiping out any primitivist/isolted societies. Actually I remember some societies surviving because they are isolated... Also I remember no cultures being wiped out, so isn't that a moot point? Unless you can show that it wiped out a culture that was no advanced enough to combat it ;)
Also, Native Americans were not completely wiped out, moot +1?
How dipolomatic of you to say "chances are [prayer and herbal medicine] won't suffice." ;)
I BET ALL MY TC
Nah, won't cut it. Transhumans will be 100000x smarter and don't afraid of anything.
Who says transhumans will even have a demand for organic food? Maybe they'll eat electricity and virtual burgers.
And if they do, who says they won't be able to buy much better and cheaper organic food in supermarkets? Also, fricken nanotomatoes made of pure deliciousness. I also fear Amish furniture won't make it far into a market where chairs and tables can change shape to satisfy owner's whims.
Too bad bees are going extinct. Hopefully we'll make transbees who will be immortal.
No difference. Close to being wiped out is good enough to show how frail people are before some bacteria (without technology, that is). Suppose a timely volcano erupted to finish the buggers off for good.