The flu has been around for ages and our immune system has built a decent understanding against it.
nCoV-2019 is new and even healthy people and children could easily die with its effect of pnuemomia and respiratory illness without proper care, proper care will be accessible easily in wealthy countries unless it spreads efficiently to human-human and infects millions.
Most healthy people would be able to recover after a good immune fight. But your grandma? Your friend with asthma or existing lung problems?
These aren’t just numbers.
“Oh healthy people are ok so I’m fine.”
If this does reach the point where it is the next common cold and we fail to contain it in time it will continue to grow exponentially.
A Spanish flu type death rate is easily achievable with something like this, even more so if it spreads to areas of high population or bad healthcare (India would be devasting)
Just be prepared for any outcome
Here are some graphs updated daily comparing nCoV to other recent illnesses
https://ncov.r6.no/
There is no confirmation for this chart but it is just a simple exponential growth formula, it has so far respected the actual rates somewhat but take it with a grain of salt
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EPOmPMgW...=jpg&name=orig
As of now :
Infected - 9815( surpassed SARS)
Deaths - 213
Across 23 regions
China -9693 confirmed cases(every province of mainland China confirmed to have cases)
Thailand-14 confirmed cases
Japan-11 confirmed cases
Australia-9 confirmed cases
Malaysia-8 confirmed cases
South Korea- 6 confirmed cases
US - 6 confirmed cases
Canada- 3 confirmed cases
France-5 confirmed cases
Vietnam-5 confirmed cases
Germany-4 confirmed cases
Italy-2 confirmed cases
Finland-1 confirmed case
India-1 confirmed case
Cambodia-1 confirmed case
Philippines-1 confirmed case
Real time infection rate and news updates -
https://thewuhanvirus.com/
Last edited by Chilledon; Jan 31, 2020 at 06:21 AM.