Originally Posted by
Boredpayne
The ambiguity is introduced when you realize that the man might actually take the gold, and there is no way to quantify this probability. Indeed, there are so many incalculable possibilities (see: a random walk) that economics as applied to the real world is extremely imprecise, much more so than physics. Economics is a science, but even though conceptually it may be concrete, in practice it is not.
Incorrect.
Randomness does not affect the legitimacy or concepts of economics. If you look up PPP you can see that it works on a macro scale using large datasets to generate averages over huge geographic areas. It doesn't work on a personal level. If one day everyone in Thailand decided that water is more valuable than gold, then the PPP would be appropriately adjusted. As you can tell, PPP is an abstract concept working on a macro level, even though you think humans act randomly on a personal level, in large scales they are predictable... Though you already know all this.
FYI Random walk is a hill climbing algorithm that is completely unrelated to economics :I
Originally Posted by
Skolfe
I would like to back up his claim by saying that this can be seen by how communism inevitably failed, even though it was marked as a "Utopian Lifestyle".
The fact that no political movement has been implemented ideally is itself very predictable. The tragedy of commons and the concept of 'ego' are both very well documented.
Plus that all communism every implemented in a large scale was really just a military dictatorship - thus pure marxism has never been implemented in a large scale. But like communism, democracy, theology, etc, it will never be possible to implement in practice.
I don't know why you think such a predictable event is random...
Originally Posted by
deprav
The funny thing is he did choose the gold.
Your scenario was unconstrained so it made more sense. However once I had the goal I would be willing to pay more than $1/L, because I would have a lot of demand for water.
So the situation still illustrated supply and demand.
Originally Posted by
deprav
In what manner programmed obsolescence falls into the realm of psychology? (not sure I'm following you here.)
And ain't psychology a huge part of economics? Because if it wasn't, how could it ever be viable ?
Programmed obsolescence is a concept that covers both industrial design (making a product fail predictably) and psychology (making it become eventually become unfashionable) and additionally business.
Economics does not study how and why things are made, nor why producers make specific decisions.
Originally Posted by
deprav
"...The classic brief definition of economics, set out by Lionel Robbins in 1932, is "the science which studies human behavior as a relation between scarce means having alternative uses." Without scarcity and alternative uses, there is no economic problem. Briefer yet is "the study of how people seek to satisfy needs and wants" and "the study of the financial aspects of human behavior."
Economics is an abstracted field of study, it studies human behaviour on a macro scale.
It has little care for specific decisions of people, in the same way that biology must be aware of chemistry, but it's not a sub field.
Originally Posted by
deprav
As you said yourself, you need money (in our present world) to satisfy needs and wants.
And regarding scarcity and the "economic problem", what if scarcity of certain ressources or goods is created on purpose by men for their profit? That makes one of the fundamental economics theories totally unpredictable, even more if men generally tends to hoard money, by greed or whatever.
No, supply and demand is a fundamental theory of economics, so reducing the supply in order to increase the profits is obvious.
If you increase supply, the price will drop, if you decrease it then price will rise. If you increase demand the price will rise, if you decrease demand the price will drop.
This is fundamental and basic economics. Why would people putting this in to practice invalidate the theory??
Originally Posted by
deprav
"In behavioral economics, psychologist Daniel Kahneman won the Nobel Prize in economics in 2002 for his and Amos Tversky's empirical discovery of several cognitive biases and heuristics. Similar empirical testing occurs in neuroeconomics. Another example is the assumption of narrowly selfish preferences versus a model that tests for selfish, altruistic, and cooperative preferences.[92] These techniques have led some to argue that economics is a "genuine science."[10]"
Yes, that is interesting. The idea of economics not only being a social science, but also a universal truth is generally accepted, and I agree with Lazear's ideal that economics should be considered as 'genuine' (equal to physics and mathematics etc) rather than a social science.
I don't know what you are trying to say, because once again this quote supports my arguments not yours...
Originally Posted by
deprav
Also I'd like to point out again that economics is full of political opinions.
Of course, so is archeology, physics, chemistry, astronomy ... Anything studied by human will be subject to politics. To quote Lazear: "Economics is not only a social science, it is a genuine science. Like the physical sciences, economics uses a methodology that produces refutable implications and tests these implications using solid statistical techniques."
Again, what is your point?
Originally Posted by
deprav
So yeah, I think I percieve economics more as a "constantly changing scientific tool" instead of a science, since it studies an eternally evolving and changing matter (humans and their needs).
No, it doesn't. I should think by this time you should have AT THE VERY LEAST read the wikipedia article. Economics is an abstract field as we have said many times.
Economics is no more about money and people than computer science is about computers.
Originally Posted by
deprav
Our needs, wants, customs and political opinions are constantly (but slowly) changing and differ from one person to another, which require economics to be constantly changing if we ever want it to be useful - which differs from other sciences relying on immuable laws.
No matter which object you drop, it will fall. Even though the object may be constantly changing, the laws of gravity will never change.
ONCE AGAIN using the example of PPP, the concept is completely abstract and universal. A million years ago it was true, in a million years it will still be true.
The concept of supply and demand will also remain valid indefinitely.
Another parallel is evolution, which by definition always applies to constantly changing organisms, yet is always valid.
Originally Posted by
deprav
Anyway, what is now a debat about economics being a science or not was initially intended to show how currency/money, being a constant factor of our evolution, has impacted on our perception of our environment, as well as our perception of money itself. I think we did see what I meant now.
One simple sentence in your first answer expose it pretty well :
"Money is a means to the end, and while some people do completely associate money with happiness, it should be obvious to everyone that money is the ability to produce happiness (both by providing food, shelter, and for trivial means too)."
Money does provide what you need to survive (sadly), but it doesn't provide friends, love, self-respect, humility and answers to existential questions.
Obviously. That is completely irrelevant to the discussion.
Even if you have friends, love, self-respect, humility and answers to existential questions, you still need food, shelter, water, etc. Plenty of people with masters degrees in philosophy can attest to that.